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China's GDP up 6.1% in first quarter
2009/04/16

 

    China's economy expanded by 6.1 percent year on year in the first quarter, official data showed Thursday, April 16.

Graphics shows China's Gross domestic product (GDP) reached 6.5745 trillion yuan (about 939 billion U.S. dollars) in the first quarter of 2009, up 6.1 percent year on year, according to the National Bureau of Statistics of China, on April 16, 2009. (Xinhua/Meng Lijing)
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    The quarterly growth rate was the lowest in 10 years as the global financial crisis continued to affect the world's fastest-growing economy. It was 4.5 percentage points lower than the first quarter of 2008 and down 0.7 percentage points from the previous quarter.

    Gross domestic product (GDP) reached 6.5745 trillion yuan (939 billion U.S. dollars) in the first quarter, Li Xiaochao, spokesman of the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), told a press conference.

People select goods at a supermarket in Qingdao, east China's Shandong Province April 16, 2009. China's economy expanded by 6.1 percent, while consumer price index (CPI) declined 0.6 percent year on year in the first quarter, official data showed Thursday.(Xinhua Photo)
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    POSITIVE SIGNS

    Li said the government's stimulus measures had produced positive results and the first quarter performance was better than expected.

    First-quarter industrial output grew 5.1 percent year on year with a rise of 8.3 percent in March. Fixed asset investment rose 28.8 percent year-on-year to 2.81 trillion yuan. Deducting price factors, the real growth exceeded 30 percent.

    In the first two months, investment in new projects rose 87.5 percent from the same period of last year, with that in the railway transport sector more than doubled.

    Agriculture production was expected to continue increasing. The acreage of grain crops for the whole year was forecast to rise for a sixth consecutive year and reach 1.08 trillion hectares.

    Retail sales grew 15 percent to 2.94 trillion yuan. The consumer price index, a main gauge of inflation, fell 1.2 percent year on year in March, compared with a decline of 1.6 percent in February, the first monthly fall since December 2002.

    The per capita disposable income of urban residents rose 10.2 percent to 4,834 yuan for the first quarter. Deducting price factors, the increase reached 11.2 percent. That of rural residents also climbed 8.6 percent to 1,622 yuan.

    Sales of auto and home appliances were increasing. According to China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, the country's auto sales hit 2.68 million units in the first quarter, the highest in the world. Sales of home appliances in March were up 72 percent from February to 2.24 billion yuan, according to the Ministry of Commerce.

    Power consumption, an important indicator of industrial activity, posted smaller declines. It dropped 3.49 percent in March, compared with an 11.37-percent decline in December last year.

    Zhang Liqun, a researcher with the Development Research Center of the State Council, said statistics for March trade, real estate sales and fiscal revenue showed positive signs. The effects of the government's stimulus package would become more evident in the second quarter.

    REMAINING DIFFICULTIES

    "We should not be too optimistic about these changes as the economic outlook is still grave," said Wang Tongsan, an economist with the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS).

    The NBS spokesman said the main difficulties for an economic recovery included the slumping export demand, falling company profits and fiscal revenue, and unemployment pressure.

    During the first quarter, foreign trade dropped 24.9 percent to428.7 billion U.S. dollars. Exports were down 19.7 percent to 245.5 billion U.S. dollars. Imports slumped 30.9 percent to 183.2 billion U.S. dollars.

    Actually used foreign direct investment stood at 21.8 billion U.S. dollars, 5.6 billion U.S. dollars less than the same period of last year.

    China's major trading partners are still facing economic difficulties. U.S. retail sales fell 1.1 percent in March, when economists were looking for a 0.3-percent gain. Japanese industrial output fell a seasonally adjusted 9.4 percent in February from the previous month, which marked a fall for the fifth month running, the longest slump since 2001.

    Yao Jingyuan, NBS chief economist, said external demand remained "the most volatile factor" in the country's economic development.

    Corporate earnings shrank as economic growth slowed. The Aluminum Corporation of China Ltd. (Chalco) reported a 99.9-percent plunge in full-year net profit to 9.2 million yuan in2008. Yunnan Copper posted a 2008 loss of 2.79 billion yuan because of lower metal prices and the write-down of inventories.

    Tax cuts intended to spur the economy and the financial markets reduced government revenues. First-quarter fiscal revenue fell 8.3percent to 1.46 trillion yuan.

    In the first two months, the number of newly employed in urban areas reached 1.62 million, down 210,000 from the same period of 2008. The employment of college graduates in first jobs fell to 20percent in the first quarter from the historical average of 70 percent.

    RECORD HIGH CREDIT

    The country's bank credit rose rapidly in the first quarter. Credit extended by banks hit 4.58 trillion yuan, representing about 90 percent of the annual target.

    Premier Wen Jiabao said on March 5 at the opening of the annual session of the National People's Congress, the national legislature, that new yuan-denominated loans this year were expected to reach 5 trillion yuan.

    In March alone, new yuan-denominated loans increased 1.89 trillion yuan. It was the third straight month that new loans exceeded 1 trillion yuan.

    Nevertheless, mid-and-long-term loans accounted for more than half of the new bank credit in March. These loans would help the real economy to recover, said analysts.

    The monetary policy committee of the People's Bank of China, or the central bank, has said at its first-quarter meeting that the central bank would continue "the appropriately easy monetary policy" in coming months to boost investor confidence.

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